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Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment
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The Relationship Between Static and Dynamic Risk Factors and Reconviction in a Sample of U.K. Child Abusers

Anthony Beech

University of Birmingham, United Kingdom, a.r.beech{at}bham.ac.uk

Caroline Friendship

HM Prison Service, London, United Kingdom

Matt Erikson

HM Prison Service, London, United Kingdom

R. Karl Hanson

Department of the Solicitor General of Canada, Ottawa, Canada

This study examined how well historical information and psychometric data predicted sexual recidivism in a sample of child abusers about to undergo group-based cognitive behavioral treatment in the community. Static, historical factors, as measured by the Static-99 (R. K. Hanson & D. Thornton, 2000), significantly predicted recidivism over the 6-year follow-up period. High-risk men were over 5 times more likely to be reconvicted for a sexual offence compared to low-risk men. Adding psychometric measures of dynamic risk (e.g., pro-offending attitudes, socio-affective problems) significantly increased the accuracy of risk prediction beyond the level achieved by the actuarial assessment of static factors. This result indicates the importance of considering dynamic risk factors in any comprehensive risk protocol.

Key Words: sexual offenders • static risk • dynamic risk • child sexual abusers • recidivism • reconviction.

Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment, Vol. 14, No. 2, 155-167 (2002)
DOI: 10.1177/107906320201400206


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